Changing How Money Works

UN-PRESIDENT’S DAY: UNTIL YOU CHANGE HOW MONEY WORKS, YOU CHANGE NOTHING
By Carolyn Baker

Economics is the study of our optimization (creation, management, allocation and destruction) of our resources. To optimize something is to make the most of it. Our spiritual and intellectual resources are infinite. That means there is more of it than we could ever use up. Our resources in the material world —such as air, water and land—- are finite. Most of us believe that we have a responsibility to take care of the land, to take care of each other, and to take care of ourselves. Economics is a body of knowledge that helps us do that.

Catherine Austin Fitts, “Economics 101: A Curriculum” (which may be read at her Solari website)

All-too frequently I encounter activists who don’t like to talk about money. While they crusade loudly for “economic justice”, they resist talking about their own relationship with money as if it were somehow an X-rated topic on par with sexuality or bathroom habits. In other words, these well-meaning individuals have little or no financial literacy. For this reason I wrote a 2005 article “Activists And Accountants: Absolute Allies” in which I emphasized that economic IN-justice only happens when people sacrifice sustainability for profit and that whenever we attend to our own sustainability and that of our community, we are practicing economic justice, but we cannot do so without acquiring financial literacy.

My experience has confirmed this for me so profoundly in recent years that I have come to agree wholeheartedly with Catherine Austin Fitts that until we change the way money works in our personal lives, our communities, and our world, we will change nothing. I know of no one else on earth who has so clearly articulated the way sustainable and unsustainable economic systems work as Catherine has. For this reason, I place little emphasis on the role of presidents as I teach history to college students or in my thinking and discourse on the government of the United States and how it functions.

“Tapeworm” is the name Fitts applies to the economic system of the U.S. which seeks to feed upon both its inhabitants and its neighbors, near and far, and at the same time, ingest them with toxins which cause them to crave the very elements which feed the Tapeworm, thereby establishing a perpetual search-and-destroy economic system. Inherent in Tapeworm economics is the primacy of centralized financial systems such as the Federal Reserve, national and worldwide banking networks, a complex global economic apparatus, reliance on agribusiness for food supply and distribution, and the privatization of resources—all without financial transparency or accountability.

Conversely, a sustainable economy is de-centralized and locally-focused, relying on small, well-managed local banks; food supplies which are grown, financed, and distributed locally; community ownership of land and resources; local commerce and industry; and above all, financial transparency.

Read the rest here.

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Cartoon Tuesday – Scandals and Surging

Thanks to Charlie Loving.

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Part Nine of the Neocons

9. The Neocons – “There’s No Al-Qaeda Organization”

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From the MDS Conference in NYC – D. Hamilton

Movement for a Democratic Society Conference. (2/17/07) What happened?

What didn’t happen.

Before the conference, a small group of dissidents complained via the MDS list-serve about national office staff domination by an illegitimate cabal who were controlling the conference and marginalizing Al Haber who was advocating greater internal democracy. My own initial evaluation of this was to advocate that all parties quit quibbling and get on with the important work to be done. I was told that I didn’t understand the issues involved. Then the dissident Haber supporters put out a highly verbose call for support that included a threat of physical violence at the conference if their demands were not addressed.

This was a terminal turn off for me. On arrival at the conference, we met Bruce Rubinstein, Paul Buhle and other alleged cabal members. They seemed entirely reasonable and businesslike. They also had a convincing story in regards to Haber’s actions that was not flattering.

The Haber dissidents did show up and immediately made a nuisance of themselves, disrupting the schedule of speakers at the very first opportunity. But it was also immediately obvious that their pre-conference efforts had gained them no recruits. They remained 5 people at most out of almost 200. They were eventually quelled and the proceedings continued. After all the speeches had been given and the business part of the program began, they renewed their onslaught. It failed utterly. Haber, however, did nothing to control their aggressiveness or distance himself from them. As a result, when it came to electing 3 vice chairs of the MDS Board, a position to which he was nominated, he came in last. Haber definitely suffered from his association with these unruly disruptors. I tend to feel that he’s a good man who got used by some not so good people with suspicious agendas.

I cannot help but wonder where these guys came from. It was immediately obvious that they were a tiny minority and their complaints had no traction. Yet, they persisted, at times in a rude and disorderly manner. Such actions cause me to suspect sinister motives. Their harshest and most telling critics were the young SDS speakers who denounced their activities with undiluted scorn. And these students, representing SDS, which is considered to be the main show, had clout. In sum, this group of dissidents were a disruption that was managed and marginalized with no effect other than to be a mild bummer during an otherwise uplifting event.

What did happen.

This was a coming out party, much of it for show, with a little business, although important business, tacked on to the end. The show included a series of speakers, all interesting, some inspiring. It kicked off with Tom Good, SDS/MDS organizer from NYC giving a review of SDS and MDS growth since its refounding almost a year ago. It was basically a description of accelerating growth and militancy coast to coast, but not centered in the elite universities that were the strongholds of the old SDS.

Good was followed by Mark Rudd, ex-leader of the famed 1968 Columbia student strike and subsequently of the Weather Underground. He basically denounced many of the decisions of his past, especially “the insane decision made unilaterally” by the Weather leaders who controlled the national office of SDS after the 1969 Chicago convention, to “kill off” SDS for not being sufficiently revolutionary. He actually said that although they were not, the Weather leaders should have been paid by the FBI for doing its work for it. He then moved on to denounce violence as a tactic, or even its discussion. Besides the moral arguments, violence inevitably led to isolation and invited repression from a government which has more weapons for such now in era of the “War on Terrorism” than it did back then. Rudd closed by pointing out that the earlier SDS surged from a minor organization to a major one when it took the lead of the student movement against the war in Vietnam. The new SDS should do the same in relation to the student movement against the war in Iraq. In this vein, he advocated counter recruitment, support of GI resisters and outreach through militancy. He also advocated SDS autonomy, not yoked to MDS.

Rudd was followed by Columbia Black history professor, Manning Marable, who gave the most riveting speech of the day. It was a sweeping analysis of the nature of the problem we face, globalized capitalism supported by American imperialism. A principal manifestation of this is “globalized aparteid”, the racialized domination by the primarily white developed world over billions of non-white poor. This system is a manifestation of the ideology of neo-liberalism, which he characterized domestically by the evisceration of the public sector by privatization and the elimination of government regulation and services. The war in Iraq is not an aberration foisted upon us by radical neo-conservatives. Debt growth and declining profits from domestic enterprises have forced US capitalists to export capital in search of lower waged labor and lack of environmental regulation, leading to a more aggressive foreign policy. In brief, neo-liberalism fosters more aggressive imperialism, leading to US troops currently being stationed in 59 different countries. Neo-liberalism also leads to “new racial domain of the 21st century” that includes mass unemployment in non-white communities (in reality 40-50%) and the mass incarceration of excess non-white workers (“warehousing redundant labor”) and their consequent disenfranchisement, over a million citizens including a third of all adult black males in Mississippi. A related manifestation is the prison-industrial complex with 2.3 million now behind bars in the US, the highest rate of incarceration of any nation in the world. Add those on parole or probation and the figure reaches 6 million. Most new prisons are located in Republican congressional districts where non-voting prisoners are counted as residents, resulting in those districts receiving more government money and increased representation. What is to be done? Opposition to imperialism in foreign policy and defense and expansion of the public sphere domestically. Marable’s analysis was comprehensive and his presentation dramatic. He rocked.

Marable was followed by a panel of New York area SDS members. They denounced the “egotistical” bickering among MDS members and listed their needs from MDS: mentorship, money, professional skills (e.g., lawyers) and networking. These four young representatives spoke with confidence and authority.

After lunch, Barbara Ehrenreich spoke, primarily about her new book, “Dancing in the Streets.” This concerned the evolution of the “carnivalization” of demonstrations, involving masking, music, theater, costuming, etc. These festive elements enhance solidarity, foster individual creativity and help us visualize a better world. This was an interesting point, but I would have liked hearing a broader perspective and something about her hopes for MDS. Ehrenreich was followed by Judith Malina, co-founder of the Living Theater and the day’s last speaker. Not surprisingly, her presentation was poetic, spontaneous, flamboyantly dramatic and charmingly brilliant, reading a wonderful poem written for the occasion. She urged the incorporation of the arts in our struggle.

At this point, we proceeded to the business part of the conference. This included the approval of the members of the MDS Board. Probably 20 of the 50 were on hand. Noam Chomsky, Angela Davis and others had sent messages of solidarity. Those on hand spoke of their qualifications and desire to participate. All were approved. In addition, Al Haber was added to the Board. Then Board members present voted on their chairperson and 3 vice-chairs. Manning Marable and Al Haber were nominated for chairperson with Marable winning by near acclamation.

There were 5 nominations for Vice Chairpersons. The winners were Boston historian Paul Buhle, radical hip hop artist, the 30ish Jessie Zurel, and Judith Malina. Haber was nominated for this position too, but came in last. He had been seriously damaged by his dissident supporters. Having Manning Marable assume this role was a huge rush. This man is brilliant, dynamic and African-American. SDS never had non-white leadership. I spoke with him afterwards about opposition to the “war on drugs” being an obvious component of his analysis. He emphatically agreed, greeted me as “comrade” and inspired me with his genuineness, warmth and energy.

Later, I asked Bruce Rubenstein, a Connecticut product liability lawyer who was once in the Weather Underground, about the level of commitment of the absent Board members. He said all were committed but the level varied. Some would speak to us and for us if given enough advance notice, for example Chomsky, who is generally booked up to 2 years in advance. Others would do committee work as well. He also pointed out that none of them, Zinn, Davis, Ferlingetti, et al, would be willing to join any other political organization.

In sum, I may have wished for better attendance – some, including Gavan Duffy, couldn’t make it because of miserable weather throughout the Northeast. And the dissidents didn’t exactly enhance the vibe. But at the end of the day I felt elated.

Alice Embree, Sally and I then left with Mark and Marla Rudd, Tom Good, Starhawk and others for dinner at the famous and funky Katz’s New York deli. Later, we walked over to a “party” at the Yippie center on Bleeker Street that turned out to be an over extended rap on some new drug made from an African root they were advocating as a cure for hard drug addiction. That was followed by a deafening punk rock band. We left. But Haber was there and bridges seemed to be being repaired.

What can MDS become? What you make it. Shortly, I’ll give you my take on what that could be.

David Hamilton

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Big Brother Was Watching

NYPD Spy Tactics Exposed: Democracy Now! Airs Exclusive Police Surveillance Footage Recorded From Blimps, Helicopters and “Lipstick Cams” During Republican National Convention

On Thursday a federal judge has ordered the New York Police Department to stop videotaping innocent protesters at political demonstrations. The judge ruled the police have repeatedly violated what is known as the Handschu guidelines that dictate how the police carries out political investigations. Today we broadcast never-before-aired police spy video that show how the police conducted widespread surveillance during the Republican National Convention in 2004. [includes rush transcript] A major ruling restricting police surveillance of public gatherings was just handed down in a Federal court in New York. On Thursday, Judge Charles Haight ruled that police must stop the routine videotaping of people at public gatherings unless there was an indication that unlawful activity may occur. This was the same judge who, after September 11th and at the request of City officials, had given the New York City Police Department greater authority to investigate political, social and religious groups.

In the ruling, the judge cited two events that the police videotaped — a march in Harlem and a demonstration by homeless people in front of the Upper East Side home of Mayor Michael Bloomberg. The Judge called the police behavior “egregious” – stating that there was no reason to suspect that the participants were involved in unlawful behavior.

Lawyers involved in the case said that not only is the ruling a victory in itself, but that it would make it possible to contest other surveillance tactics, including the use of undercover officers at political gatherings.

* Martin Stolar, longtime civil rights attorney in New York City who has worked on the Handschu case since 1971.

* Eileen Clancy, member of I-Witness Video, a project that assembled hundreds of videotapes shot during the Republican National Convention in 2004.

Read and listen to all of it here.

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Hedges On "Dominionists"

Chris Hedges on “American Fascists: The Christian Right and the War On America”

AMY GOODMAN: We turn now to the religious right and the rise of it in this country. A new book by Chris Hedges is called American Fascists: The Christian Right and the War On America” . It investigates the highly organized and well-funded dominionist movement. The book looks at their agenda, examines the movement’s origins and motivations and uncovers its ideological underpinnings. American Fascists argues that dominionism seeks absolute power in a Christian state. According to Hedges, the movement bears a strong resemblance to the young fascist movements in Italy and Germany in the 1920s and ’30s.

Chris Hedges was a foreign correspondent for the New York Times for many years, where he won a Pulitzer Prize. He’s also the author of War Is a Force That Gives Us Meaning and Losing Moses on the Freeway. Chris Hedges has a Master’s degree in theology from Harvard University and is the son of a Presbyterian minister. He is currently a senior fellow at the Nation Institute and joins me in studio now. Welcome to Democracy Now!

[snip]

AMY GOODMAN: Christian Zionist Movement, how does it fit into this?

CHRIS HEDGES: Well, the relationship between this radical movement and the radical right in Israel is one that really brings together Messianic Jews and Messianic Christians who believe that they have been given a divine or a moral right to control one-fifth of the world’s population who are Muslim. It’s a really repugnant ideology. The radical Christian right in this country is deeply anti-Semitic. I mean, look at what they — you know, when the end times come, except for this 144,000 Jews who flee to Petra and are converted — I think this was a creation of Tim LaHaye — Jews will be destroyed, along with all other nonbelievers, including people like myself who are nominal Christians, in their eyes. You know, there is no respect for Judaism in and of itself. It’s an abstraction. It’s, you know, Jews have to control Israel, because that is one more step towards Armageddon. And I find that alliance strange and very shortsighted on the part of many rightwing Israelis and rightwing Jews in the United States.

AMY GOODMAN: This latest story, the Anti-Defamation League calling on Georgia State Rep. Ben Bridges to apologize for a memo distributed under his name that says the teaching of evolution should be banned in public schools, because it is a religious deception stemming from an ancient Jewish sect. The memo calls on lawmakers to introduce legislation that would end the teaching of evolution in public schools, because it’s “a deception that is causing incalculable harm to every student and every truth-loving citizen.”

CHRIS HEDGES: And there’s a bill now in the Texas state legislature that will abolish all mention of evolution in school textbooks and make Bible study mandatory in public schools. And the role of creationism is extremely important in this movement. It’s not just wacky pseudoscience. It is really a war against truth. It is not about presenting an alternative. It’s about saying facts are interchangeable with opinions, that lies are true, that we can believe whatever we want. And once they successfully elevate creationism, which, of course, is a myth — I mean, teaching creation out of the Book of Genesis is an absurdity. The writers of the Book of Genesis thought the earth was flat with rivers of above and below us. But what it does is destroy the possibility or sanctity of honest, dispassionate, intellectual and scientific inquiry. And when they do that, they have made a huge step towards creating a totalitarian state.

Read all of it and/or listen to it here.

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Swiftboating BushCo

Although it isn’t necessary to look far to find them ‘swiftboating’ themselves.

The Bush Administration: Against the War Before They Were For It

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What Morality?

Notes From My Purple State: Kansas Says No to Divestment
by Jesse Zerger Nathan‚ Feb. 15‚ 2007

Sudan and Kansas might not have much in common at first glance, but only an ignoramus would deny the connections between this purple state and that bloody one in today’s globally interconnected economy. Officially, the State of Kansas makes mutual fund investments through the Kansas Public Employees Retirement System (KPERS). KPERS, in turn, manages and administers retirement plans for state and local employees. Glenn Deck, executive director of KPERS, says that while Kansas does not have any direct holdings in Sudan or any Sudanese businesses, “it does hold securities of companies that have business connections to Sudan,” to the tune of about $43.5 million, according to the Lawrence Journal-World.. This is why activists have asked Kansas lawmakers to divest the state’s assets from Sudan, thereby joining a blossoming movement to use economic tools against a genocidal regime. But so far, the GOP-controlled Kansas Senate and House of Representatives have offered a polite, but firm, “No.”

The violence in Sudan is, by now, almost a cliché in its horror and scope—as is the apathetic Western reaction. Everyone knows what’s happening—200,000 dead and 2.5 million homeless since 2003—and no one is sure what to do, or who should do it. Aside from a few rhetorical flourishes, the West, and especially President Bush, has been largely passive in response to the steady, gruesome reports from Darfur and the surrounding region.

Still, outcry is growing. And one strand of activism is a burgeoning conglomeration of grassroots organizers, business leaders, and Christian activists who’ve combined forces to call for divestment from Sudan and companies doing business in the country.

Read the rest here.

And on that note, why does this not surprise us?

Accused Terrorist Is Big GOP Donor
Published on Monday, February 19, 2007.
Source: ABC’s – The Blotter

The National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) won’t say what it plans to do with thousands of dollars in campaign donations it received from an accused terror financier.

Abdul Tawala Ibn Ali Alishtari gave $15,250 to the NRCC since 2002, according to FEC records published on the Web site opensecrets.org.

On Friday, Alishtari pled not guilty to funding terrorism and other crimes, including financial fraud.

The NRCC is the main political group dedicated to helping the Republican party win seats in the U.S. House of Representatives. Reached Monday morning for comment, an NRCC spokeswoman declined to discuss the matter on the record.
The indictment against Alishtari unsealed in Manhattan federal court Friday charges him with providing material support to terrorists by transferring $152,000 between banks to allegedly be used to purchase night-vision goggles and other equipment needed for a terrorist training camp.

Alishtari, aka Michael Mixon, was paid for his efforts to collect and transfer the funds, which included $25,000 sent from a bank in New York to a bank in Montreal, Canada, the indictment alleges.

Source

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Voiceprint

Voiceprint UK: Great British Music on DVD
by E. “Doc” Smith‚ Feb. 16‚ 2007

Ever wondered where to find classic DVDs of British rock, blues, or the progessive works of Pink Floyd, Yes, or Tangerine Dream? Look no further than Voiceprint UK, home to an ever growing and an incredible array of vintage music from the British Isles. One of the best and most revered music documentaries of the 1960’s enjoys it’s long awaited release in this spring.

“All My Loving” was filmed and produced in the late sixties and was one of the early directorial films from celebrated director Tony Palmer. The film features rare footage of the Beatles, Pink Floyd, The Who, Cream, Frank Zappa and Jimi Hendrix. Considered a landmark release at the time, (1968), this film is shortly to be available on DVD.

There are so many near forgotten greats of the sixties and seventies, that it’s amazing so much of that footage has even survived and been digitally remastered by Voiceprint. Fans can visit their website, www.voiceprint.co.uk. One needn’t worry too much about figuring out the pounds vs. dollars, they do it for you and the DVDs actually arrive in a reasonable amount of time. (16 pounds for a DVD comes to roughly around $30).

Guitar greats like John Martyn, Steve Hackett of Genesis; Hawkwind; King Crimson and Asia alumni John Wetton and Steve Howe, are captured in a variety of live performances, and lovingly restored.

Read the rest here.

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The "We Had to Destroy Them to Save Them" Plan

Iraq Gasps and Iran Coughs
By Dan Lieberman
Feb 18, 2007, 21:02

After bringing Iraq close to destruction, President Bush is trying to rescue his Iraq policy from another: “We had to destroy them to save them” plan.

Considering the lack of expertise of the Iraq security forces and the obvious divided loyalties of its components, it is incomprehensible how Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki’s government can complement the United States ‘surge’ and severely contain the Iraq Civil War. Bush’s final thrust is destined to be brutal, an all-out and no holds barred military push that takes no prisoners and reduces to dust anyone who gets in the way. The warning to Iran, disguised as preventing the Islamic Republic from supplying support to the insurgents, is actually a warning not to interfere with U.S. plans. The expected results: accusations that Iranian interference has prevented a resolution of the civil strife, diversion of United States resources to settle issues with Iran and, although not immediate, a renewed Civil War that brings Iraq to its last gasp.

The Fallacies

The lies, distortions, and fallacies never end. The proposition that “faulty intelligence” was responsible for the rash actions against Iraq is easily contradicted by the incredibility of the intelligence. Testimonies from responsible government personnel certify that the Bush administration manipulated the intelligence and then tried to blame intelligence agencies for the faulty Iraq operation.

In an April 23, 2006 interview with CBS’ 60 Minutes program, former CIA official Tyler Drumheller said: “The policy was set. The war in Iraq was coming and they were looking for intelligence to fit into the policy.” Former Foreign Service officer Joseph C. Wilson 4th, in a New York Times op-ed, “What I Didn’t Find in Africa,” July 6, 2003, described his pre-invasion fact-finding trip to Niger for certifying the transfer of “yellowcake” to Iraq, and concluded “there’s simply too much oversight over too small an industry for a sale to have transpired.” Wilson accused the Bush administration of “exaggerating the Iraqi threat in order to justify war.”

The latest fallacy has the Bush government ending the sectarian warfare by assisting the al-Maliki government to suddenly become neutral and fight all insurgents with equal ferocity. This maneuver can be temporarily effective, but is implausible in the long run for one simple reason; the root causes of the sectarian warfare, which are the unresolved antagonisms and political ambitions between the three major groups exaggerated by the presence of foreign fighters including those from the United States, are not being resolved. So, what can be the reasons for the ‘surge?’

One reason is to shift the blame from the previous military and defense department officials who managed the conflict to newly appointed military leaders in CENTCOM and Iraq, to new Secretaries in the defense and state departments and also to the hapless Iraqi government. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice will have John Negroponte, the newly appointed Undersecretary of State, suffer the political heat from the perceived Iraq failure. Even President Bush has carelessly made himself (or has he been talked into making himself?) a “fall guy.” After always insisting he followed the dictates of his civilian and military advisors in his decisions, he has suddenly revealed that he is the “decider” and like Harry Truman, “the buck stops here.” Secretary Rumsfeld, many Generals, and Secretary Rice couldn’t be more satisfied.

Read the rest here.

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Two Triggers

US ‘Iran attack plans’ revealed
BBC
Monday, February 19, 2007

US contingency plans for air strikes on Iran extend beyond nuclear sites and include most of the country’s military infrastructure, the BBC has learned.

It is understood that any such attack – if ordered – would target Iranian air bases, naval bases, missile facilities and command-and-control centres.

The US insists it is not planning to attack, and is trying to persuade Tehran to stop uranium enrichment.

The UN has urged Iran to stop the programme or face economic sanctions.

But diplomatic sources have told the BBC that as a fallback plan, senior officials at Central Command in Florida have already selected their target sets inside Iran.

That list includes Iran’s uranium enrichment plant at Natanz. Facilities at Isfahan, Arak and Bushehr are also on the target list, the sources say.

Two triggers

BBC security correspondent Frank Gardner says the trigger for such an attack reportedly includes any confirmation that Iran was developing a nuclear weapon – which it denies.

Alternatively, our correspondent adds, a high-casualty attack on US forces in neighbouring Iraq could also trigger a bombing campaign if it were traced directly back to Tehran.

Long range B2 stealth bombers would drop so-called “bunker-busting” bombs in an effort to penetrate the Natanz site, which is buried some 25m (27 yards) underground.

The BBC’s Tehran correspondent France Harrison says the news that there are now two possible triggers for an attack is a concern to Iranians.

Read the rest here.

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Questioning the Assumptions

Leaving Iraq: Apocalypse Not
By Robert Dreyfuss, Washington Monthly.
Posted February 19, 2007.

Much of Washington assumes that withdrawing from Iraq will lead to a bigger bloodbath. We need to question that assumption.

The Bush administration famously based its argument for invading Iraq on best-case assumptions: that we would be greeted as liberators; that a capable democratic government would quickly emerge; that our military presence would be modest and temporary; and that Iraqi oil revenues would pay for everything. All these assumptions, of course, turned out to be wrong.

Now, many of the same people who pushed for the invasion are arguing for escalating our military involvement based on a worst-case assumption: that if America leaves quickly, the Apocalypse will follow. “How would [advocates of withdrawal] respond to the eruption of full-blown civil war in Iraq and the massive ethnic cleansing it would produce?” write Robert Kagan and William Kristol in the Weekly Standard. “How would they respond to the intervention of Iraq’s neighbors, including Iran, Syria, and Turkey? And most important, what would they propose to do if, as a result of our withdrawal and the collapse of Iraq, al Qaeda and other terrorist groups managed to establish a safe haven from which to launch attacks against the United States and its allies?”

Similar rhetoric has been a staple of President Bush’s recent speeches. If the United States “fails” in Iraq — his euphemism for withdrawal — the president said in January, “[r]adical Islamic extremists would grow in strength and gain new recruits. They would be in a better position to topple moderate governments, create chaos in the region, and use oil revenues to fund their ambitions … Our enemies would have a safe haven from which to plan and launch attacks on the American people.”

This kind of thinking is also accepted by a wide range of liberal hawks and conservative realists who, whether or not they originally supported the invasion, now argue that the United States must stay. It was evident in the Iraq Study Group, led by James Baker and Lee Hamilton, which, participants say, was alarmed by expert advice that withdrawal would produce potentially catastrophic consequences. Even many antiwar liberals believe that a quick pullout would cause a bloodbath. Some favor withdrawal anyway, to cut our own losses. Others demur out of geostrategic concerns, a feeling of moral obligation to the Iraqis, or the simple fear that Democrats will be blamed for the ensuing chaos.

But if it was foolish to accept the best-case assumptions that led us to invade Iraq, it’s also foolish not to question the worst-case assumptions that undergird arguments for staying. Is it possible that a quick withdrawal of U.S. forces will lead to a dramatic worsening of the situation? Of course it is, just as it’s possible that maintaining or escalating troops there could fuel the unrest. But it’s also worth considering the possibility that the worst may not happen: What if the doomsayers are wrong?

Read the rest here.

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